Raising Tobacco Taxes is Dumb

Isn’t it interesting how every time a state government is in fiscal trouble that the first thing they decide to do is to raise taxes on the sale of tobacco?  Somehow, legislators have it in their heads that the only people who might be upset by raising the cost of tobacco are smokers.  And, since smoking is bad for smokers, and smokers shouldn’t be smoking anyway, maybe making smokes more expensive will dissuade smokers from smoking.

Of course, this is government we’re talking about.  So it never works out they way they think it will, no matter who tries to tell them.  In fact, this plan to raise revenue from tobacco taxes doesn’t actually work at all.

See, governments don’t understand free markets.  If you raise the price of a certain good or service beyond a certain point, people who want the product badly enough will find a way to procure it more cheaply.  Remember Prohibition? Same thing.  To avoid paying the higher taxes, they will cross state lines, buy from an Indian reservation, buy over the internet, or even resort to black market purchasing.

And, if raising taxes does actually cut down the number of smokers, then the expected revenue from this tax increase will be less than expected…because there will be fewer smokers!

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