From Robert Samuelson:

Confidence is crucial to stimulating consumer spending and business investment, and Obama constantly subverts confidence. In the past year, he’s undone some of the good of his first months. He loves to pick fights with Wall Street bankers, oil companies, multinational firms, health insurers and others. He thinks that he can separate policies that claim to promote recovery from those that appeal to his liberal “base,” even when the partisan policies raise business costs, stymie job creation or augment uncertainty — and, thereby, undermine recovery. His health care “reform” makes hiring more expensive to employers by mandating insurance coverage. The moratorium on deep-water oil drilling kills jobs; the administration’s estimate of employment loss is up to 12,000.

Obama’s proposal to increase taxes on personal incomes exceeding $250,000 ($200,000 for singles) is the latest example of his delusional approach. It satisfies the liberal itch to “get the rich.” Well, the rich and most other taxpayers will ultimately have to pay higher taxes to help close budget deficits. But not now.

Raising taxes in a weak economy doesn’t make sense.

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From The Hill:

Hiring by the U.S. Census Bureau is expected to spike May’s job figures dramatically.

Economist Mark Zandi of Moody’s.com projects the economy will have added 575,000 jobs in May, while the Economic Policy Institute’s (EPI) rough projection is for 560,000 jobs.

Either figure would represent the largest number of jobs created in any month since the dot-com crash of 2000.

Vice President Joe Biden, speaking at a Democratic fundraiser on Tuesday, touted what he said would be a positive report for Democrats, who are hoping a revitalized economy will help them in this fall’s elections. He said the May report would be “well beyond” the 290,000 jobs created in April, according to Reuters.

The numbers pose a problem for the administration, however, in terms of their reflection of economic growth.

Zandi expects that only 150,000 of the jobs created in May will come from the private sector, with 425,000 new jobs sparked by the once-a-decade Census. (more…)

Well, it’s hard to choose these days. The resurgence of Keynesian economics shows how fragile and insecure economists are in general. They are, of course, important exceptions. But while I have a special dark place in my economist heart for the New York Times‘ columnist Paul Krugman, I think today the prize should to economist Mark Zandi, of Moody’s Economy.com.

Zandi is constantly quoted in the media as the go-to-person on what do for the economy to recover. For instance, how many stories have we read in the Washington Post saying “nearly all economists support the stimulus,” with for only evidence a Zandi quote. Many. Who cares that Zandi’s model shows that the stimulus is working because the answer is built into the equations of Keynesian models. Here is a job for an economist: Take apart and demolish these reality-defying macro models once and for all.

The media loves him and as a result there are countless quotes of him out there about how we need more government intervention into the economy to jump start the economy, how passing the $800 billion stimulus bill would create jobs, how more spending programs are yet still needed.

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