As a professional scholar, Ben Bernanke devoted much of his academic life to studying the Great Depression. It is no surprise then, that the cause of the Depression was of particular interest to the current Fed chairman. In the end, Bernanke surmised that it wasn’t so much a particular action that caused the greatest economic downturn the world has ever seen, but a period of inaction, specifically, the time between the crash of 1929 and the beginning of FDR’s New Deal in 1933. He proposed that government was far too slow in taking steps to stabilize the economy and as a result, it took a massive public works program and World War to eventually jump-start the country.

Convinced as he was, when faced with a similar situation he was determined not to make the same mistake as his predecessors. In short, he was determined to stop the markets from failing. Together with Henry Paulson, they provided the framework for the $700 billion bailout of American banks, designed to infuse the market with fresh capital while making the US government a shareholder in the biggest financial institutions in the country.

Fast forward two years and a few things have changed. The majority of the $700 billion has been paid back but the spending hasn’t stopped, nor does Bernanke expect it to. In fact, he expects the United States to enter an extended period of recession, ala Japan since the 1990’s. Coincidentally, Bernanke is an expert of the Japanese economy as well, having studied the rise and fall of the Asian superpower and even lectured at their central bank about how they should have handled the bursting of their real estate bubble.

For a man who wields such an incredible power over the economy, much is expected and demanded. Without getting into my overall opinion of the Federal Bank, I want to talk about what the Fed is doing today to bring an end to this recession. Let me warn you, it is has little to do with real reform and everything to do with regulation and mind games.

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In February of this year, I wrote a study (co-authored with Mike Flynn) about the lessons of the Japanese “Lost Decade.” At the end of the 1980s, Japan faced a very similar situation to ours: an asset bubble burst, the economy went into recession, and the financial sector stumbled. In that study we argued (as did others in separate publications) that if American didn’t properly learn the lessons of the Lost Decade, that we too would suffer a similar long night of economic malaise. Unfortunately, the warning has not been heeded.

Japan spent most of the 1990s screwing around with monetary policy, increasing taxes on its citizens, and spending trillions on stimulus projects. Sound familiar? The result was 10-years of stagnant economic growth, out of control unemployment, and national debt rising to double the rate of GDP, all while the rest of the world laughed at the nation that appeared to be returning to empire status. And that is where we are headed.

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