We’ve Got the Tea Party, But They Have the Mad Hatter
by Steven MooreIt wouldn’t be an election without an October surprise, and sure enough, the 2010 cycle will not disappoint. This time, it’s not some 11th hour accusation about unpaid taxes, illegal nannies or secret love affairs, but an appearance from the Mad Hatter of pollsters whose crazy talk in the final days of the election is making black sound like white and and Nancy Pelosi sound…sane. Well, almost.

Who is the Mad Hatter of the 2010 elections? Friends, follow me on a trip down the rabbit hole…
Dave Schweikert (AZ 5), who I met while in AZ in August and really like, has been ahead consistently by six to eight points against Rep. Harry Mitchell through the first of September.
So I became quite concerned when two polls in October showed him down by seven! A 15 point swing in 30 days!
This is particular bizarre since Arizona is ground zero for voter angst this cycle. My uncle, a retired professor of labor law, has never voted for a Republican in his life. This summer, he started a blog against Harry Mitchell. And it is nasty.
What moved him to do so? His daughter (my cousin) narrowly avoided two rounds of layoffs from a major pharma company, each accompanied by a letter citing “recent changes in health care policy.” His premiums have gone up 15%. Both his kids are under water on their houses.
Polls are moved by news. What could be happening in Arizona to turn Schweikert’s race around and make people like my uncle abandon his blog and let bygones be bygones?






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